Vaprus Pärnu vs FC Flora Tallin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TUL
2 - 8
PAR
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 4
TJK
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
LOT
4 - 2
PAR
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 3
RAK
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 1
PAR
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FLO
1 - 1
LEV
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FLO
0 - 1
TUL
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
TJK
0 - 1
FLO
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
FLO
0 - 3
LOT
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
RAK
1 - 0
FLO
35%
25%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |