Vaprus Pärnu vs FC TVMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 2
LEV
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LEV
4 - 0
PAR
92%
6%
2%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 2
TRA
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2002 |
FLO
7 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2002 |
LEV
5 - 0
PAR
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2002 |
TVM
0 - 4
LEV
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
DTB
4 - 1
TVM
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
TVM
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2002 |
TVM
2 - 3
FLO
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2002 |
TUL
4 - 4
TVM
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |