Vaprus Pärnu vs Soccernet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 3
FLO
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 5
TAL
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
5 - 0
WAR
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
PAR
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Soccernet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
SNT
4 - 3
TFA
32%
24%
45%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
SJL
4 - 0
SNT
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | -1 |