Vaprus Pärnu vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
KIV
1 - 2
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
LEV
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLO
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TUL
2 - 8
PAR
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 4
TJK
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 3
LOT
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 0
FLO
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TUL
0 - 3
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 1
TJK
48%
23%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LOT
2 - 1
AJA
54%
21%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |