Vaprus Pärnu vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
TUL
1 - 2
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAM
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
TRA
6 - 3
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 4
FLO
16%
19%
65%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
TAR
0 - 3
PAR
59%
21%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 2
WAR
77%
14%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
TUL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
TAM
2 - 1
AJA
55%
22%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 3
TRA
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
FLO
6 - 0
AJA
78%
14%
7%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |