Vaprus Pärnu II vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
73.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
POS
2 - 3
PAR
60%
18%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HJP
3 - 2
PAR
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TUL
0 - 1
PAR
70%
15%
15%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 4
KUR
14%
15%
71%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
KOS
3 - 4
PAR
26%
19%
55%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
JOK
1 - 1
KUR
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
KOS
0 - 6
JOK
7%
13%
80%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
JOK
5 - 1
VJK
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
PIR
2 - 2
JOK
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FLO
0 - 2
JOK
13%
16%
70%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |