Parnu U19 vs Helios Tartu U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.1%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
7º
6º
3
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 30 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 27 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 19 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 17 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 1 |
11º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnu U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
LEG
2 - 3
PJK
34%
21%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
PJK
3 - 3
FHT
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
3 - 2
PJK
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
PJK
0 - 7
JKN
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -3 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 6
PJK
22%
20%
58%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Helios Tartu U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2023 |
HET
0 - 8
PAI
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
JKN
7 - 0
HET
91%
6%
2%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
HET
6 - 4
FLO
6%
10%
85%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LJK
5 - 2
HET
91%
6%
2%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
HET
0 - 2
NKA
7%
12%
81%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |