Parndorf vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ADM
2 - 3
PAR
33%
25%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 3
WIE
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SCF
2 - 0
PAR
20%
23%
58%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
4 - 0
AUS
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 3
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
4 - 5
SCH
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ADM
3 - 1
BAU
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 4
RAP
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
WIE
1 - 1
BAU
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 0
FAC
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |