Parndorf vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
OST
0 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 2
SVH
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
FCW
0 - 3
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 0
ADM
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
RAP
5 - 0
BAU
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 1
WUR
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
MAT
4 - 2
BAU
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 2
OST
38%
23%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |