Parndorf II vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parndorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HOR
1 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
STM
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
KLI
1 - 1
PAR
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
NEU
0 - 2
PAR
17%
20%
64%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 3
SVS
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
PUR
2 - 0
DRA
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 0
PUR
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PUR
4 - 0
JEN
79%
15%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
PUR
2 - 0
PIN
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 0
PUR
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |