Parndorf II vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parndorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
PIN
4 - 1
PAR
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
STG
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
SIG
0 - 2
PAR
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
GUS
79%
15%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
NEU
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
PUR
2 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
STI
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
JEN
3 - 1
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |