Parnahyba vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 0
PAR
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
GUR
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 2
YAP
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
YAP
1 - 0
MAR
33%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
IMP
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |