Parnahyba vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
GLO
27%
27%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
ALT
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
77%
17%
6%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
GUA
77%
17%
6%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |