Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 1-5
Parnahyba vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 3
CSA
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
CSA
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CEN
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
6 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |