Parnahyba vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
PIA
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 3
PIA
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
4%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 0
4DE
19%
21%
61%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAI
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAI
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
CAI
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |