Parnahyba vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
69.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
FPI
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
ALT
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
4DE
0 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAC
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
PAR
20%
20%
59%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
BOT
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |