Parnahyba vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 0
PAR
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
COR
1 - 2
PAR
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 1
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 3
POT
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ABC
5 - 0
ASS
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 3
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |