Parnahyba vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
FPI
20%
21%
60%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 0
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
ALT
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +7 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
RIV
34%
29%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
4DE
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 1
MOT
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TUN
2 - 1
4DE
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
4DE
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 2
FPI
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |