Parma U19 vs Padova U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
2º
37
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 0
PAR
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRE
72%
16%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
UDI
1 - 0
PAR
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 1
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
CIT
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Padova U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 0
FER
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
PAD
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PAD
0 - 0
VIC
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
REG
1 - 0
PAD
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |