Parma U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+158%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CES
1 - 1
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 4
JUV
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 3
SIE
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
MOD
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
78%
15%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |