Parma U19 vs Südtirol U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
2º
36
1º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ABL
1 - 0
PAR
22%
20%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
VEN
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 2
PAR
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
UDI
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
REG
0 - 1
PAR
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Südtirol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SUD
5 - 0
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
SUD
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
UDI
5 - 0
SUD
50%
22%
29%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 0
USA
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
REN
1 - 0
SUD
27%
21%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |