Parma U17 vs Modena U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+124%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
9º
3º
3
10º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
FIO
32%
23%
46%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 2
PAR
25%
23%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
SMP
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 4
PAR
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 6
BOL
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
MOD
93%
6%
2%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SMP
2 - 0
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOD
0 - 2
EMP
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |