Parma U17 vs Bologna U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
9º
6º
17
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 57 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 48 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 37 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 29 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 26 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 14 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 11 |
13º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SMP
1 - 4
PAR
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 2
PAR
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
5 - 1
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 2
SMP
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 1
BOL
18%
18%
63%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
PIS
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOL
11%
15%
74%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |