Parma vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 2
PAR
23%
27%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
PIS
67%
22%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
AVE
3 - 3
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAL
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASC
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 1
FRO
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 1
VIC
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 0
RIM
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
VIC
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 0
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |