Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-3
Parma vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
27%
27%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
PRG
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 2
CSK
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
VIC
1 - 3
PAL
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MES
3 - 1
VIC
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
VIC
1 - 1
TRI
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 0
VIC
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |