Parma vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
32.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
48%
32%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
42%
33%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAR
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 3
PES
59%
26%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
VIC
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
VIC
0 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
VIC
2 - 1
CAT
63%
24%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
2 - 1
VIC
33%
32%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |