Parma vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAR
43%
23%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 2
PAR
40%
22%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
PAR
3 - 2
PAL
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 1
MES
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
VIC
0 - 0
MOD
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 2
VIC
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
CAG
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 2
TRE
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |