Parma vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 2
PAR
23%
25%
52%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACM
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
CAG
2 - 3
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
PIA
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
BAR
0 - 1
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
REG
1 - 0
VNZ
36%
29%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VNZ
0 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
PIA
2 - 2
VNZ
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ACM
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 1
VNZ
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |