Parma vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
SSS
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRE
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
MES
2 - 0
VNZ
38%
30%
32%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 1
VNZ
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
VNZ
2 - 0
TAR
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
VNZ
0 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |