Parma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
20.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
CAG
2 - 2
PAR
40%
32%
28%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
AVE
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRE
54%
29%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
TOR
0 - 0
PAR
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 0
SSB
55%
28%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
TRI
2 - 0
BRE
43%
32%
25%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
PES
2 - 0
TRI
72%
20%
8%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAD
52%
29%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
SSB
0 - 0
TRI
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
TRI
0 - 0
MES
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |