Parma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
USA
1 - 1
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
BAR
38%
31%
32%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 0
FCC
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
VER
4 - 1
TRI
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
SSS
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
UDI
3 - 1
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
TRI
1 - 1
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
TRI
1 - 0
MES
45%
29%
27%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |