Parma vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
33%
Draw
0-0
17.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33%
25.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
PAR
1 - 2
PES
43%
32%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
TRI
1 - 1
PAR
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
CES
1 - 0
PAR
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
41%
33%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAR
41%
33%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
PIS
1 - 1
USC
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
USC
2 - 1
VIC
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
USC
0 - 0
LEC
56%
27%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
USC
3 - 0
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
BAR
1 - 1
USC
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |