Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 0-2
Parma vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
SSB
1 - 1
PAR
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
PAR
3 - 0
ARZ
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
PAD
1 - 1
PAR
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
MOD
59%
26%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
AVE
1 - 1
ASC
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
PIS
0 - 0
AVE
55%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
PES
2 - 0
AVE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
AVE
1 - 1
COM
52%
28%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
ACM
3 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |