Parma vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 1
VER
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
PAL
3 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCC
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
USA
2 - 1
REG
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
VNZ
1 - 0
USA
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
COM
0 - 2
USA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |