Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Parma vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
12%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
PAR
3 - 1
UDI
57%
27%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
ATL
2 - 1
PAR
43%
30%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAR
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1992 |
FTC
1 - 3
UJP
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
UJP
0 - 2
NAP
32%
30%
39%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
NAP
3 - 0
UJP
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
UJP
2 - 0
BUD
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
BEK
1 - 4
UJP
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |