Parma vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 1
PAR
71%
20%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
UDI
1 - 0
LEC
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 1
UDI
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
UDI
2 - 0
PAD
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
USF
1 - 0
UDI
53%
23%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
BAR
1 - 0
UDI
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |