Parma vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
PIS
2 - 0
PAR
61%
27%
12%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAR
58%
27%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATL
44%
32%
24%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
COM
1 - 2
PAR
64%
24%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAT
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
ROM
2 - 0
TER
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
TER
0 - 0
VIC
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
PIS
1 - 0
TER
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
TER
1 - 1
ROM
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1980 |
TER
1 - 0
SSS
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |