Parma vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
20%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
28.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
57%
28%
16%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
ACM
0 - 1
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CAM
0 - 0
PAR
42%
33%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
BAR
45%
33%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
PES
34%
32%
34%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
MES
2 - 1
TAR
64%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
TAR
3 - 1
USC
33%
35%
32%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
PIS
2 - 0
TAR
67%
23%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
VIC
29%
31%
40%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |