Parma vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAR
62%
26%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 2
ATL
51%
29%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
64%
24%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAR
65%
23%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
TAR
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
46%
30%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
TAR
61%
26%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
PRG
39%
33%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
COM
3 - 0
TAR
63%
25%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |