Europa League 1/16
Global 5-4
Parma vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PAR
3 - 1
CAG
67%
19%
13%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
PIA
1 - 2
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
HEL
1 - 3
PAR
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
REG
2 - 2
PAR
15%
25%
60%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LAS
1 - 1
STR
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
STR
3 - 1
SWB
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
RBS
0 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 1
STR
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
STR
5 - 1
SCA
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |