Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
COM
1 - 1
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
PAR
2 - 3
NOV
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASS
50%
28%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 0
NAP
41%
29%
31%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 1
USA
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
GEN
4 - 2
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
1 - 1
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |