Parma vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
INT
5 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 3
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 3
LEC
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAR
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAL
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SIE
4 - 0
LAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SIE
0 - 0
FIO
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 0
SIE
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
PAL
4 - 4
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SIE
0 - 2
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |