Parma vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
PAR
0 - 0
USA
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
PAL
0 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACP
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATL
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
VIC
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |