Parma vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 3
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
VER
3 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1956 |
UDI
5 - 1
SAL
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
SAL
0 - 1
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
SAL
1 - 3
COM
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
ACM
2 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |