Parma vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
NAP
2 - 2
PAR
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
PAR
0 - 2
VIC
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2000 |
INT
0 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2000 |
MUN
0 - 2
PAR
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
REG
1 - 0
VIC
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
NAP
6 - 2
REG
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
REG
1 - 1
VER
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
LAZ
2 - 0
REG
83%
12%
6%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
REG
0 - 3
BRE
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |