Parma vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
PAR
2 - 1
USA
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1964 |
PAD
0 - 0
PAR
68%
21%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
PAR
3 - 0
REG
39%
29%
33%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1965 |
PRO
1 - 2
GEN
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
TRI
2 - 0
PRO
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
PRO
2 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 1
POT
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
VER
0 - 0
PRO
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |