Parma vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1957 |
PRO
1 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PRO
1 - 0
TAR
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
75%
16%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 0
PRO
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASS
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |