Parma vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
30.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 2
PAR
69%
21%
10%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
PAR
1 - 1
CES
38%
32%
30%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
69%
21%
10%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
51%
30%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
PIS
0 - 0
LEC
63%
25%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
COM
0 - 0
PIS
49%
30%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
PIS
3 - 1
MAT
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
62%
25%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
SSS
0 - 0
PIS
39%
33%
29%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |