Parma vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 1
ATL
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 2
PAR
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 2
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 1
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
0 - 2
PAL
35%
24%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
RAP
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
VNZ
2 - 1
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |