Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-1
Parma vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
75%
18%
8%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
TOR
34%
30%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 3
VER
21%
28%
51%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
VER
2 - 1
PAL
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
ROM
4 - 0
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |